I'm going to make this a quick one tonight, but fear not because I plan on covering everything that you need to know regarding the new price trends that have unfolded this week.
I would like to point out that due to content size and to the fact that I would like to present the data in the best way possible, I am going to only present the most recent two weeks of price data. This should make it easier to see what has changed recently. If you would like a copy of the data going back to the 6th of October, then feel free to message me with a request and I will send it to you.
Now, and always, two things before we get started:
First a disclaimer: As always, please take my advice at your own risk! I am not a professional psychic and have absolutely no idea what card prices will do and that any advice offered is purely based on my own speculations/card price trends.
Second some directions: In order to view the images posted on this blog at full size, please follow these simple directions.
Step 1: Left click on the image to bring it up.
Step 2: Right click on the image to bring up a list of options.
Step 3: Left click on "View Image"
Step 4: Left click on the image to enlarge it. This will allow you to easily view it at full size.
Step 5: Marvel at how quickly prices can change.
With that out of the way, here come the numbers!
Return to Ravnica:
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| All prices are mid on Tcgplayer.com at the given day. |
Not too much to see here folks.
Ash Zealot $2.96 (+0.07): We are seeing some small movement in Red's best two drop. One important thing to consider here with such a small change is that the average price could be creeping up because people are buying out the lower cost copies of this card, thus slightly increasing the average price, which happens to be what we are looking at here. Buuut, I still like this card and it doesn't hurt to note growth where it exists.
I believe that the lack of upward movement from the vast majority of Return to Ravnica's Rares are slowly but surely settling into their (more or less) permanent regular standard price range.
Before I move to the cards that are trending down, I would like to talk about Return to Ravnica in the terms of the Product life-cycle (PLC). I think for the most part we are in the Maturity Stage of the PLC, but more on that in a bit.
In our case Return to Ravnica is the product and its "time spent in standard" is its life cycle. First comes the the Market Introduction Stage, where the product is first released and insanely hyped, thus prices are high, and depending on usefulness and playability are likely to climb. Second we have the Growth Stage. This is what we experienced when prices were fluctuating wildly and for the most part bounding upward from day to day. Right now, we are starting to move into the Maturity Stage of the PLC where sale prices peak and begin to level out. Since the product has become wildly available and there are plenty of cards in the market prices will begin to stop climbing, level out, and slowly, but eventually fall. I will talk about the 4th stage of the PLC Saturation and Decline in a later article when it actually begins to happen (usually closer to a sets rotation from standard date).
TRENDING DOWN:
A list, because I am short on time tonight:
Abrupt Decay $9.11 (-1.17)
Armada Wurm $15.89 (-1.30)
Chromatic Lantern $3.23 (-0.46)
Cyclonic Rift $3.26 (-0.18)
Deathrite Shaman $8.79 (-0.21)
Detention Sphere $6.21 (-0.32)
Dreadbore $6.36 (-0.60)
Epic Experiment $3.65 (-0.24)
Hallowed Fountain $14.93 (-0.72)
Isperia, Supreme Judge $2.33 (-0.23)
Jace, Arcitect of Thought $41.29 (-3.67)
Jarad, Golgari Lich Lord $3.25 (-0.19)
Lotleth Troll $7.54 (-1.42)
Loxodon Smiter $3.92 (-0.31)
Mizzium Mortars $4.15 (-0.33)
Niv-Mizzet, Dracogenius $6.81 ( -0.57)
Overgrown Tomb $15.77 (-0.72)
Rakdos's Return $9.35 (-0.41)
Rakdos, Lord of Riots $6.03 (-0.62)
Rest in Peace $1.67 (-0.18)
Steam Vents 11.28 (-0.75)
Supreme Verdict $5.35 (-0.53)
Trostani, Selesnya's Voice $12.14 (-1.49)
Vraska the Unseen $15.90 (-1.50)
And now I am going to talk about Avacyn Restored (briefly):
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| All prices are mid on Tcgplayer.com at the given day |
Craterhoof Behemoth $3.18 (+0.14): Reanimator likes its 7 and 8 drops and a giant fatty is a giant fatty. Probably just a flash in the pan, but something to note regardless.
Silverblade Paladin $7.57 (+2.49): Holy double striking double strikers, Batman, what a jump! Where is Silverblade going to end up? At the rate he is growing he could easily break $10 by next Monday. The fact that he has an immediate impact on the board if you already have a creature out makes this a creature to watch.
Tamiyo, the Moon Sage $27.21 (+0.26): Once again probably just statistic movement (low price cards being bought bringing the average up) but still Tami has kept moving consistently for the most part.
TRENDING DOWN:
Bonfire of the Damned $31.94 (-1.56): BONFIRE IS STILL FALLING. Sorry about that. Sometimes I just feel the need to use my outside voice.
Cavern of Souls $20.54 (-1.16): Without draw go to make a huge impact in standard right now and with control lists only running a handful of counters, it makes sense that Cavern's price is reflecting this current trend.
Entreat the Angels $28.12 (-0.28): Althought Entreat hasn't fallen a ton, but I think this may be the highest price it will command for a while. If you have some that you are looking to unload, this might be the best time for you to do so.
We are done with Avacyn Restored, so you know Dark Ascension is next!
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| All prices are mid on Tcgplayer.com at the given day |
Hellrider $4.33 (+1.43): *HELLLLLRIDER!!! I hope you've got this guy lying around in abundance. If you do make sure you keep an eye out for when he peaks, and then try and trade him off. Otherwise if you get a sweet offer to trade someone this, I say go for it.
*Cue the Screeching Heavy Metal vocals.
Sorin, Lord of Innistrad $17.18 (+1.73): I haven't seen Sorin running amok in Standard at my LGS, but then again it could be an oversight on my part. Whether this is Standard or Modern driving up Sorin's price it is important to note that Sorin was quite the expensive Mythic at one time and does something very similar to what Ajani Goldmane did when WB tokens was a significant threat in standard.
Thalia, Guardian of Tharaben $5.68 (+0.18): The fact that Thalia only costs 1W and not WW makes her an easy splash in decks that do not like opposing noncreature spells (cough, Planeswalkers, cough).
TRENDING DOWN:
Falkenrath Aristocrat $19.38 (-0.53): Perhaps this is due to lack of play (although I don't think it is) or it could be due to lack of demand. Watch for this to continue falling and get rid of yours now, unless you are using them.
Geralf's Messenger $10.84 (-0.38): Maybe zombies' popularity is declining, huh.
Gravecrawler $11.65 (-0.22): Nah, probably nothing. Maybe.
Only a handful of movers in DA, but now we will look at INNISTRAD:
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| All prices are mid prices on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Elite Inquisitor $1.60 (+0.13): Elite Inquisitor is still trending up. He may eventually make it to $2. UW was a thing there for a moment, and Elite Inquisitor has the additional benefit of blocking (and attacking through) all manner of Vampires, Werewolves, and Zombies.
Garruk Relentless $14.32 (+0.81): A gain is still a gain, although it is important to note that Garruk may be slowing down as noted by the last two days.
Geist of Saint Traft $30.76 (+0.83): I don't need to tell you this guy is good, and it comes as no surprise that his mid price has finally surpassed $30 especially given the limited number of ways to remove him in standard right now.
Parallel Lives $3.57 (+0.14): This is kind of like my pet project. I feel like I have talked about this card with each article and will continue to until it shows signs of stopping. EDH and casual players will keep this cards price steadily trending up.
Sever the Bloodline $1.86 (+0.22): I would love to see this hit $2. I would really love to see it hit $5. It might, but it probably won't. It is still one of the best pieces of targeted removal in the game right now and we haven't even seen what Dirmir and Orzhov will offer in Gatecrash (which might make Black an even more appealing color).
Stromkirk Noble $3.08 (+0.13): This may be the best thing you can play on turn 1 against some decks and perhaps we will see Captain Kirk move even more in the coming weeks.
TRENDING DOWN:
Bloodline Keeper $4.98 (-0.14): No comments, just something to note that he is trending down.
The Innistrad Duals : It's been a rough week for the Innistrad duals (except for Clifftop). Not sure where these are going, other than that they are going down.
Snapcaster Mage $23.78 (-0.40): Snaps is great, but right now Blue decks are playing White and Green for their (currently) more powerful cards. The lack of a dedicated Ux control deck in standard is what is driving Snappy's current price down.
Alright, let's bring this thing home, M13!
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Garruk, Primal Hunter $6.45 (+0.34): Still green, still good, and still (for now) climbing.
Thragtusk $22.34 (+0.88): Event deck schment deck. Thraggy doesn't care. He may be the new delver, but what is the only difference? A Gold set symbol and a $20+ price tag, but Thragtusk doesn't care, he just keeps on gaining life and making beasts.
Thundermaw Hellkite $17.16 (+2.00): $2 in a week? Wonder what will happen this week? Expect to see this hit $20 soon and get them while they are hot.
TRENDING DOWN:
And.... The list of M13 stinkers, err, sinkers :D
Ajani, Caller of the Pride (still not seeing play in Standard); Akroma's Memorial (still falling, still fun in EDH); Cathedral of War (still coming into play tapped); Disciple of Bolas (still not being played in black); Jace, Krenko, and Liliana (still falling, no sign of stopping); Vampire Nocturnus (why was this ever expensive in the first place?).
I really hope you enjoyed the article. Please forgive me for my initial lack of enthusiasm, but alas, I am tired. I would like to say, however, that right now we are in a state of standard that we haven't seen for quite a while. Brews are cropping up everywhere and people are constantly finding new ways for the cards to interact. Keeping a head of the curve when it comes to pricing will help you know when the big things are about to break and will help your collection flourish in the meantime.
Thanks for reading and please share this with your friends, follow this blog, comment, and let me know what you thought. If you have any questions or comments post them! Thanks for reading City of Traders and until next time, may your games be great and may your trades be awesome!
Kyle
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