Tonight I'm going to let you know what is going on in the world of MTG Standard Financial Trends and as an added fun little bonus I am going to try and predict how much the new From the Vaults: Twenty is going to be worth. I'm partly doing this as a "fun/goofy who knows what could happen" thing and partly as a "let's see how close my prediction actually is" thing. But enough about me, lets talk about some MAGIC!!!
GATECRASH
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
(Not much to see here)
Blind Obedience $6.70 (+0.23): Sloooooow but steady. This is a great anti aggro card and since aggro seems to be dominating right now, people are moving in on these. If the right deck breaks this card open, it's price will rise.
Crypt Ghast $2.75 (+0.03): I know, I know, did you really need me to tell you that this card went up a whopping 3 cents? Hopefully not, but, if this card does what I think it will then you should get in now while it is still cheap.
TRENDING DOWN;
(There's a lot)
My advice here is to look for the red. If you think a card is just going to keep falling, then trade yours off, if you think a card is falling but will eventually turn around, then invest now while prices are down. Oh, and if you are holding onto your Boros Reckoners and you're not playing them now or any time in the future, bail on those asap because they have peaked.
RETURN TO RAVNICA
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Uhhh, Sphinx's Revelation (I guess?) $17.99 (+0.70): This card was moving up toward the beginning of the week, and has sorta slowed down in the past couple of days. Keep an eye out here and Bail on yours once they peak.
Before I move on, I would like to mention something. There was a sudden drop, not a gradual trend in some of the prices. See all of the Red on the 20th and the 21st? That was a severe price drop. This is something to keep in mind as you trade in the week(s) coming forward.
TRENDING DOWN:
Angel of Serenity $8.75 (-1.29)
Armada Wurm $3.75 (-0.36)
Deathrite Shaman $14.00 (-0.50)
Jace, Architect of Thought $12.95 (-1.25)
Lotleth Troll $2.59 (-0.26)
Trostani, Selesnya's Voice $4.17 (-0.29)
Vraska the Unseen $6.50 (-0.53)
My advice here? Trade these cards into more "stable" cards. In other words, Legacy staples, and Commander goodies, that aren't going to be reprinted any time soon. Alternatively, try and trade up into Standard cards that are trending up, instead of down.
AVACYN RESTORED
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Angel of Glory's Rise $2.49 (+0.23): Not much to see here, although this card is one of the key pieces in probably the most popular combo deck in standard right now, so it makes sense that it's price is moving up a little. Oh, on a side note, there is/was a promo version of this at Wal-Mart/Target, it is one of those "buy three old packs and get this promo for like $10" things. If you want to get a hold of this card, check that out.
Cavern of Souls $26.60 (+0.76): There were copies of this card all over the GP Quebec City top 8, 17 to be exact. I'm just saying this would be one of those cards I mentioned trading your Falling RtR Rares into.
TRENDING DOWN:
Bonfire of the Damned $26.20 (-0.70): I knew it was too good to be true :D All kidding aside if this keeps falling it's still not a bad time to trade out of this.
Craterhoof Behemoth $5.15 (-0.65): More mythic falling action. Hopefully you took my advice months ago and got rid of your copies when they peaked (11/22).
Entreat the Angels $11.66 (-1.36): This card's price dropped for a while before it shot back up after Return to Ravnica came out so there is a possibility that it could do that again. It is at the lowest it has been since I started collecting data, which is definitely something to mention, especially if you think this card is poised for a comeback.
Sigarda, Host of Herons $10.00 (-0.42): Not sure if this one is going to go back up for a while. Don't get me wrong, it's an awesome card, but the data just isn't there to support an oncoming rise this week.
Silverblade Paladin $9.99 (-0.64): Not that I am basing everything off of it, but there were only 5 copies of this card in the entire GP top 8. If this card's popularity doesn't drastically change, I could see its price continuing to fall. Now wouldn't be a bad time to get out of yours while you can.
Tamiyo, the Moon Sage $18.55 (-1.07): If Jace, Architect of Thought is any indication, then this card's price is also going to continue to drop. The kind of Blue 'walker control deck that was running these cards just isn't doing it right now. I recommend trading out now.
Temporal Mastery $8.02 (-0.50): I really don't have much to say about this card. It will probably still drop, but it will never really get much lower than $5-6 just based on the power of its ability.
Terminus $6.97 (-0.42): Right now creatures matter, and one would think Terminus would be good. The problem is, that most decks are rallying so well from a sweeper that it makes this worse. I predict that this card's price will continue to drop.
Wolfir Silverheart $2.63 (-0.29): Another example of a card that had it's day in the spotlight, but just isn't seeing the level of play it once was.
DARK ASCENSION
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Falkenrath Aristocrat $18.99 (+0.15): This card did help take the winner of the GP's deck to 1st place. It also fits in nicely with the "Hey, I think aggro might be a good thing to play right now" mentality that is prevalent in Standard. My recommendation? Trade this sucker off when it peaks and smile at how awesome you feel.
Hellrider $15.43 (+0.62): Hellrider was constantly trending up, but I think it may be (or has already) peaked. If you have some copies hanging out that you aren't using, watch for their price to quit rising and act appropriately.
TRENDING DOWN
Geralf's Messenger $5.31 (-0.68)
Gravecrawler $6.45 (-0.81)
Thalia, Guardian of Thraben $6.15 (-0.22)
INNISTRAD
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Blasphemous Act $2.99 (+0.62): No surprise here. If you have a Boros Reckoner and your opponent doesn't this card is stupid awesome! But you already knew that, right? Of course you did. :D
Isolated Chapel $12.99 (+0.79): Lands are good, Black, White, synergy, blah, blah, blah. You've heard it all before.
Liliana of the Veil $31.94 (+1.82): Lili popped up in quite a few lists from the GP top 8 in both the main and the side. This card puts the right kind of pressure on the decks that are hot in standard right now, so it may be wise to trade into one if you plan on using it soon. Otherwise you may end up paying close to $40 if this trend continues.
Mayor of Avabruck $2.59 (+0.04): This is more of a PSA than a recommendation. The Mayor makes humans awesome, and having used his anthem ability on multiple occasions, I can say he is a powerful card. The fact of the matter is there are more awesome humans in Standard right now than there have been in a very long time, and Mr. Mayor is in a good position to see play and (more importantly) rise in price.
Nephalia Drownyard $0.99 (+0.15): Alternate win conditions are always a Control player's favorite. This is no exception. I'm not telling you to invest in these, just to be aware of their recent price increase.
Stromkirk Noble $4.86 (+0.18): Hey remember those humans I told you to care about earlier? Well Stromkirk Noble don't care, which makes him like the Honey Badger, which makes him AWESOME!
TRENDING DOWN:
Champion of the Parish $5.69 (-0.29)
Gavony Township $2.32 (-0.21)
Olivia Voldaren $11.98 (-0.40)
Sever the Bloodline (-0.20)
MAGIC 2013
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| All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date |
Akroma's Memorial $5.39 (+0.11): Steady as she goes.
Jace, Memory Adept $17.47 (+0.36): Jace's price went crazy when the UB guildmage was spoiled and it looks like there may be a little something going on again. To tell you the truth, I'm not sure what it is, so if someone could enlighten me, that would be awesome.
Omniscience $5.00 (+0.54): This card has been solidly moving up for a while now. It's playability in Legacy, Commander, Casual, and (apparently) Standard will keep this card's demand high. Get these now if you need them for any of the aforementioned formats.
Primordial Hydra $5.99 (+0.26): I imagine this rise is due mostly to Casual and Commander appeal, since I haven't seen this break out in Standard yet. If it is one of the eternal formats, I have more than likely missed that as well.
Rhox Faithmender $4.49 (+0.26): Life gain combats aggro. I think that sums it up.
Rootbound Crag $3.90 (+0.22)
TRENDING DOWN:
Ajani, Caller of the Pride $9.99 (-0.37): I had high hopes, but still no luck.
Sublime Archangel $19.93 (-0.64): I have already mentioned that you should have bailed on this. I don't think there's much else to say.
Thragtusk $14.49 (-0.98): Still an awesome card, just not seeing as much play as it use to. If you can find someone to trade your copies to, I say go for it.
Thundermaw Hellkite $32.40 (-0.91): I think I've mentioned that this peaked a while ago. My recommendation here is the same as the past few cards, get out of this now!
That wraps it up as far as this week's price trends are concerned. I hope you thoroughly enjoyed it! Now I am going to play a little game of predict the future! Here is my prediction for what the value of the new From the Vaults: Twenty is going to be:
Average Card Price: $9.50
Total Set Value: $175 - 185
Money Card Price: $45
I based these numbers off of the Average card price for the other 5 From the Vaults and each of the total set values from the other 5 sets. Since we have no clue what is going to be in the set these numbers could be wildly off, but who knows I could be right . . . on the money. YEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHH!
That's it for this week folks. Additionally, I thought I would try a little something new this week. Have a great week, and Never stop trading.
Kyle
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