Monday, February 4, 2013

Withering Gaze - 2/04/2013

Good evening everyone!  Welcome once again to City of Traders! 

Before we begin, I would like to say thank you to everyone who checked out the blog last week, as it was one of my most widely viewed entries and to tell you the truth, I really enjoyed seeing that.  If you ever find yourself reading this article and think you may know someone who might enjoy it, pass it along, I would really appreciate it.

As always, take my advice at your own risk and remember to use your head when going into a trade.

Tonight, we are going to look at the current price trends highlights and I will take a look at the recently announced Gatecrash Event Decks and let you know how their content stacks up to their price tag.  Lets dive right in.

GATECRASH!
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
TRENDING UP!

Blind Obedience $5.14 (+0.99):  Up a dollar, this card's playability is being reflected in its price trend.  If you find yourself wanting to hose your opponent and gain some life for your trouble, pick these up now.

Boros Reckoner $10.50 (+4.83):  All I can say about this was I hope you read the article the night I posted it and grabbed as many of these as you could.  This price could be reflecting hype, but at the same time RDW can use this, RW stuff can use this, and the casual Stuffy Doll/13 Damage deck can use this.  Grab it now if you need it, otherwise you may want to wait for the hype to dissipate.

Frontline Medic $5.31 (+0.13):  No big movement, but this could be one of those cards that comes out of nowhere and shoots up a dollar or two in a week.  This is one to watch.

Legion Loyalist $4.17 (+0.23):  I think this card is going to continue to go up.  Red decks love their hasty one drops and this guy hooks your entire team up, and he beats tokens, which is never a bad option for aggro decks to have.

Sacred Foundry $13.41 (+0.70):  Note that I am not referencing "the Shocklands" as a group, I'm just talking specifically about Sacred Foundry.  Boros is making quite the impact on Standard and in order to run the Red White menace you have to get your mana right.  If you plan on playing these, get them while they are still less than $15.

Stomping Ground $12.67 (+0.17):  See the above comments :D

Watery Grave $12.74 (+0.01):  Same thing here.  For some reason, only these three shocks seem to be headed up.  We could have another instance of Temple Garden here so invest appropriately.

TRENDING DOWN:

I'm not going to belabor this and mention every card that dropped five cents.  I am going to just point out what I think was SUPER hyped and what will inevitably fall.

Aurelia's Fury $23.65 (-2.81):  I think until this card proves itself in the correct shell, its price is going to continue to fall.  This card was hyped so much because people didn't want to miss the "next" Sphinx's Revelation.  Bail on this card if you have it, unless its price takes a turn for the better.

Borborygmos Enraged $3.64 (-0.36):  Maybe this isn't the answer Reanimator needed, but then again it may be that this card just hasn't had its chance yet.

Duskmantle Seer $12.69 (-2.11):  Unless this card see's some awesome tournament winning play, I think its price is going to continue to fall.  If you think someone is going to break this card open hang on to it, otherwise you may want to consider getting rid of yours now.

Gideon, Champion of Justice $16.15 (-2.89):  Gideon 2.0 just isn't living up to the hype.  It looks like Domri may be this set's Jace, and Gideon may just be Vraska, sad unplayed Vraska.

That ends my list of big drops for the week.  There are other cards that are falling in price, but I'll let you check out the image for yourself and make judgements on your own.

RETURN TO RAVNICA:
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
TRENDING UP!

It has been a while since I have talked about the Non-Gatecrash stuff so I am going to focus on what I feel is moving based on Gatecrash's impact on it.

Chromatic Lantern $3.18 (+0.12):  Some decks like playing more than 2 colors.  Those decks need mana fixing and mana ramp and this is the card to do it.  At $3 this could be a sweet grab, especially if it hits $5.

Sadly, that's about it as far as cards that are moving upward due to Gatecrash, now lets look at what's moving down.

TRENDING DOWN:

Angel of Serenity $12.38 (-0.68):  It seems mid-range has become the thing to tinker with right now.  Sadly, that leaves big creatures sitting on the sidelines while the 4-6 drops take center state.  If you think Angel isn't going to bounce back, now may be the time to unload before its price falls even further.

Jace, Architect of Thought $15.37 (-0.60):  I'm not sure where Jace's price is going to end up, but it doesn't appear to be leveling out anytime soon.  All I can say about Jace from a financial standpoint, is that I hope you sold yours when they were $40+ dollars. :D

Sphinx's Revelation $17.25 (-0.39):  It's definitely time to get rid of this card (if you haven't done so already).  Its a great card, but if you are not going to play it in Standard anytime soon, you should get rid of yours now and profit like a champ.

Those are the major movers from RTR, now lets look at Avacyn Restored!
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
TRENDING UP!

Bonfire of the Damned $27.12 (+0.59):  I am not surprised that this card's price has slightly increased over the past few days.  There are plenty of decks that can take advantage of casting this card for its miracle cost and it will inevitably see some amount of play.  I"m not saying snatch up every copy that you can right now (as it is still fairly expensive to invest in), but this is definitely a card to watch.

Gisela, Blade of Goldnight $7.63 (+0.31):  This card is Boros, it's big, and it has an immediate impact on this battlefield.  If this card blows up, it could easily hit $12 so get in now if you are feeling lucky.

TRENDING DOWN:

Craterhoof Behemoth $6.97 (-0.42):  Stick a fork in him, he's done.  Craterhoof has seen his time in the sun and stands to continue to fall.  If you can get rid of yours now, do so.

Entreat the Angels $14.74 (-0.44):  Entreat has been falling for a while now.  If you can still get some sweet trade material out of your Entreat, I recommend doing so now before its price continues to fall.

Exquisite Blood $3.52 (-0.26):  This card was absolutely hyped.  People jumped all over this before they even had a chance to test it out which inflated the price quickly.  I think we will see it fall for a few weeks and it will probably level out around $2.

Tamiyo, the Moon Sage $21.52 (-0.75):  Without a solid Control shell to fully utilize Tami, her price has dropped steadily.  I recommend trading out of Tami into other more financially stable cards.

DARK ASCENSION:
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
TRENDING UP!

Hellrider $10.28 (+0.31):  This may be the best Aggro 4 drop in the format, especially since it doesn't require 2 colors to play.  Hellrider's price is going to continue to rise, hold onto yours until they peak and then cash out.

Huntmaster of the Fells $28.62 (+1.90):  Wow.  I believe we may have a winner.  Also Bloodbraid Elf was banned, so Jund decks are going to rely on the Huntmaster to really do some work.

TRENDING DOWN:

Falkenrath Aristocrat $18.98 (-1.00):  Falkenrath has been falling consistently for over two weeks now.  I highly recommend trading out of yours now, while they are still as high as they are.

Geralf's Messenger $6.28 and Gravecrawler $8.18:  Zombies just isn't seeing the play that it was.  Both of these cards are steadily trending down and should be bailed up in the near future.

Sorin, Lord of Innistrad $21.04 (-1.10):  Sorin was up there for a while, but he has since turned in the other direction and will only continue to fall until after the dual deck comes out which will be the nail in the coffin for him.  Trade out of yours now at $21 and thank me when you can get 3 for the same price after the dual deck drops.

Now let's look at INNISTRAD:
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
TRENDING UP!

Champion of the Parish $5.28 (+0.19):  Humans are good.  Boros is good.  Put them together and what do you have?  A very good  use for this card.  Champion is very well positioned right now and I recommend keeping an eye on his future movements.

Clifftop Retreat $12.40 (+0.63):  Red White is the place to be, but this card coming out in the Event deck may impact its price.  Keep an eye on this card and trade appropriately. 

Isolated Chapel $11.01 (+0.27):  Since White and Black don't have a ton of ways to fix their mana base without dipping into other colors, decks playing these colors will take advantage of all of the fixing they can get.  Look for this card's price to continue to rise.

Stromkirk Noble $3.57 (+0.24):  Red decks need one drops so why not turn to the one that walks past humans.  I'm not saying this card is going to leap and bound upward, but it couldn't hurt to hang on to yours until their price increases a little more.

TRENDING DOWN:

Not much to see here.  Just check out the chart and look for the RED.

Finally, M13:
All prices are mid on tcgplayer.com at the given date
 TRENDING UP!

Akroma's Memorial $5.00 (+0.35):  Akroma's Memorial has been solidly trending up in price for a while now.  The copy from Future Sight was quite expensive prior to M13's release and given that the new copy is a Mythic, there will be fewer copies in the market than there would be if it had been printed as a Rare.  Picking this up now isn't a bad idea considering that it appears to be on the rise.

Mutilate $2.47 (+0.07):  Only up seven cents but it's important to note that this card greatly benefits from all of the shocklands being in standard at the same time again.  Just saying.

Nicol Bolas, Planeswalker $4.36 (+0.23):  It could be time for the baddest dragon in the multiverse to reascend to the position of finisher in various control decks.  If Nicol becomes the thing to do on turn 7-8 then his price could continue to rise.

TRENDING DOWN:

Sublime Archangel $22.00 (-1.87):  This is still a solid card, but recently its price decline gives me reason to suggest getting rid of yours before their price drops further.

Thragtusk $17.10 (-1.38):  Oh how the thraggy have fallen.  Thragtusk is awesome, but thanks to the evolving beast that is Standard his price has continued to fall.  If you aren't going to be playing any copies you have lying around, and are looking to make some fast trades, get rid of your copies now before you lose the chance to make some money.

Thundermaw Hellkite $35.61 (-0.99):  This is another example of a sweet card that just isn't seeing as much play post Gatecrash.  From a purely financial standpoint, my recommendation is to bail on your copies now because I don't think Thundermaw has what it takes to climb any higher that what we are currently seeing and will only move down from here.

That wraps up the individual card reviews, now lets take a look at those Event decks:

Simic: Thrive and Thrash
Total Rare Value:  $23.64
Sweet Uncommons and Commons? Yes
A good buy?  Yes.  Although Thragtusk makes up almost all of the Rare value, there is still some sweet stuff to be had here.  You get three copies of Rancor @ $3.21 a pop for an additional $9 worth of value.  The two Fog Banks add another $2-3 as well.  Although you may not immediately get value just on the rares, the Uncommons make this deck a solid buy.

Boros: Rally and Rout
Total Rare Value:  $42.32
Sweet Uncommons and Commons? Yes
A good buy?  Yes.  Plenty of Rare value here.  Additionally, you get the makings of a solid RW humans deck.  Plus the two copies each of Skullcrack and Boros Charm bring up the value as well.  A fine pick up.

That's it for tonight.  I hope you had a good time.  As always, may your games be great and may your trades be awesome!

Kyle

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